Skip to main content

Stock picks

My QQQQ Fibonacci series play which I posted here a few weeks ago, is still live.

With the market rally yesterday, I am in plus territory and still looking for a few hundred points further up on the NAS before closing it.

Additionally today I took opening positions in HOV, CTX, KBH and PHM. There are more homebuilders that are out there, but Bill Miller of Legg Mason Value Trust owns the later three, and that is good enough for me. This is clearly an early play - I don't expect a housing rebound sooner than one year - but the stock price may anticipate the demand. At least that is what I hope....

Comments

Jim Garvin said…
Gutsy move to dive (pun intended) into home builders at this stage, but the Oracle of Omaha bought HOV so maybe it's not too early.

One that intrigues me is Gatehouse Media (GHS). They own over 80 different local newspapers and yellow pages and the current yield is over 12%. The stock has been beaten down because of the concern about falling advertising revenues at the big papers like the New York Times, etc. Plus, lately a PIG has taken a small position in the stock. I sense a buyout, but even if there isn't one, the yield is nice.

My most recent buy was CTSH.

Popular posts from this blog

Stimulus Plan

Mr. President: The House stimulus bill is awful. Dangerous. Counter-productive. It has a very high probability of making things worse!. Your man Rahm Emanuel is supposed to be a tough guy: turn him loose on the House Dems - they are selling you down the river. Some simple tests: the spending will improve long-term productivity; the spending will reduce our dependence on foreign oil, and the spending will happen fast; very, very fast. There may need to be some legislation to enable spending without years of environmental review. For example, spending on wind farms would improve long-run productivity and reduce dependence on foreign oil. But let's say the wind farm is a couple of miles offshore. You can't have environmental groups stopping the development to see if some fish will be harmed. This spending has to happen now. And, no tax cuts with the possible exception of AMT. People aren't going to spend any tax savings; they are going to pay their credit card bills or r...

No Steve No

To:Bill Gates and Steve Ballmer: Please, please don't spend my money on Yahoo. Spend $4 billion per year for the next 10 years building something new and better. This has to now be an ego deal, not an economic deal. If you withdraw the bid, YHOO is a $15 stock. You are too smart for this. Many times the best deals are the ones you don't make. This is one of those times. Don't spend my money on this. Sincerely, gene

So Who Wins?

Every recession plants the seeds for economic advantage in the future recovery. In the very tough 1973-1974 recession, prices fell so low that it enabled the creation of the leveraged buyout industry. With many manufacturing companies in particular trading at 3-4 times cash flow, new market entrants like KKR, Forstmann Little and Dyson Kisner Moran came in and created gigantic wealth for themselves and early investors. In the 1991-1992 downturn, engendered in part by the massive office space overbuilding funded by Savings and Loans (Resolution Trust Co, anyone?) made it possible for telcom and internet start-ups in Austin, San Jose, Northern VA, Boston's Route 128, Dallas, etc. to rent offices at a fraction of the cost had those communities not been overbuilt. And the 2001-02 downturn gave us cheap fiber and bandwidth, and bargain-priced software to feed productivity gains in corporations everywhere. So, where is the upside? At this moment, all that I can project with some confid...